Why don't people talk about a 3D Laffer curve?

When it comes to the Laffer curve, there is a lot of noise in the debate.  The idea that at some point between 0% and 100%, that the government can immediately raise more money by cutting taxes is true, but it is also trivial.  When we ask ourselves where we are on the Laffer curve, we shouldn't think of the curve as merely two dimensional, the third dimension of time should be included.

What many supply-siders who talk about the Laffer curve assume is that a cut in taxes isn't just about incentivizing people to work more during one tax year, but it is also going to result in increased trend economic growth. This is probably true when the tax cut is coincident with increased private sector control of the economy, but may not be true for tax cuts that just increase the deficit. Increased economic growth leads to higher future revenue.  From this we can conclude that in many more country's tax rates are on the right side of the Laffer curve, but only with a time horizon of 10, 20 or even 50 years.  From this perspective, it can be said that the US implemented policies that other European countries who are on the right side of the Laffer curve did not, and is able to raise just as much money with lower taxes.

About

I studied Bioengineering at the University of California at San Diego. While there I served as a trustee on the investment committee of the UCSD Student Foundation, a group that manages an endowment to fund scholarships. While in college I applied my interest in finance and economics by working as a summer associate at Clarium Capital Management, working part time my senior year, and joining full time when I graduated in 2006, staying there through August 2010. I am currently working as a portfolio manager at another global macro hedge-fund in the Presidio (And blogging about more directly market related ideas at their restricted blog). I’ve been focusing on quantitative finance, currencies, commodities, the interplay between finance and politics, demography and other long term trends.

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